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Home > Blogs > Ohio politics > Archives > 2008 > March > 04
Tuesday, March 4, 2008
CNN, Edison/Mitofsky projects Clinton wins Ohio
Both CNN and Edison/Mitofsky, a polling firm doing polling for ABC, CBS, NBC, FOX News, CNN and the Associated Press, have projected that Sen. Hillary Clinton will win the Ohio Democratic primary.
Exit polls show Clinton with slim lead over Obama in Ohio
Sen. Hillary Clinton holds a 51 percent lead to Sen. Barack Obama’s 48 percent in Ohio, according to exit polls by Edison/Mitofsky.
The results show that Clinton is getting heavier support than Obama with women. Obama, meanwhile, is winning among men.
The race, however, remains too close to call. The poll is a sample of 1,577 Democratic voters in the state.
Huckabee concedes; McCain is GOP nominee
Edison/Mitofsky is projecting that Sen. John McCain has won both Texas and Rhode Island, which gives him enough delegates to take the GOP nomination.
McCain won Vermont and Ohio. In Ohio, exit polls project him winning 58 percent to 33 percent for former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee. Huckabee conceded tonight at about 9:20 p.m. EST. In a brief speech to supporters, Huckabee said he felt party unity was important, and congratulated McCain on running a strong race.
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No results until after 9 p.m.
A spokesman for Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner said a federal judge has ruled that the Sandusky County Board of Elections must stay open until 9 p.m. because the county ran out of ballots.
And according to a report by the Associated Press, the chairman of the Cuyahoga County Board of Elections has also indicated a federal judge has ordered the board to keep 15 precincts open until 9 p.m.
The latter order came after Sen. Barack Obama’s campaign filed a federal lawsuit after hearing reports of ballot shortages in Cuyahoga and Franklin counties.
“We are working to ensure that every Ohioan who wishes to cast a ballot today may do so,” said Paul Tewes, Obama’s Ohio political director.
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More new Democratic data
The poll showed more men backed Sen. Barack Obama than Sen. Hillary Clinton - men went 52 percent to 47 percent for Obama. Women, meanwhile, were more likely to back Clinton. She received 54 percent compared to Obama’s 45 percent.
Click on graphic to the right to enlarge
African-Americans, meanwhile, were more likely to back Obama, while whites were more likely to vote for Clinton. Sixty-one percent of whites went for Clinton and 38 percent backed Obama, according to the Edison/Mitofsky poll. Eleven percent of African-American voters backed Clinton and 89 percent backed Obama.
Obama also did better with voters under 44, while Clinton received strongest support from voters 45 years old and older.
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McCain wins Ohio
Sen. John McCain has won the Ohio Republican Party, according to exit poll data by Edison/Mitofsky.
In a random poll of Ohio voters, McCain received 58 percent of the vote to former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee’s 31 percent.
The Democratic race remained to close for the polling company, which sends its information to the Associated Press and CNN as well, to call.
Clinton held a narrow lead over Obama, according to that poll.
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Two sides of the coin on the McCain win…
Here’s Ohio Democratic Party Chairman Chris Redfern’s take on John McCain’s easy primary victory in Ohio:
“During his brief primary campaign in Ohio, John McCain voiced his support for job-killing economic policies, told state manufacturing workers that their jobs were never coming back, then took the weekend off for a barbeque on his ranch,” he said. “Is it just me, or have Ohioans seen this movie before?”
Now, here’s Sen. George Voinovich, R-Ohio, on McCain’s win:
“Ohioans have spoken, and I’m confident that John McCain will be our nominee and our next president. In times like these, America needs a strong leader with experience, and that’s John McCain.”
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Republicans on talk radio hosts…
Thirty-six percent of Republican voters ranked the views of talk radio hosts as either “very” or “somewhat” important. Fifty-six percent, meanwhile, ranked it as “not too” or “not at all” important, according to the Edison/Mitofsky exit poll of 516 Ohio Republicans.
Forty-two percent of Republicans polled said they believed Republican candidate John McCain was “not conservative enough” on issues and 47 percent said McCain’s positions were “about right.”
And 81 percent of voters said age was “not an important factor” in deciding which Republican candidate to support. Seventeen percent said it was an important issue for them in their decision.
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About the Republicans…
Edison/Mitofsky has polled 516 Republicans so far, and more men then women are showing up at the polls, according to the earliest wave of results.
Of the Republicans voting, 40 percent are over the age of 60, with 49 percent between the ages of 30 and 59.
Forty-three percent considered the economy the most important issue facing the country, while 22 percent considered Iraq their top issue. Nineteen percent viewed immigration as their top issue, and 15 percent considered terrorism their top issue.
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On the unfair attacks question…
Twenty-six percent of voters felt that Hillary Clinton attacked Barack Obama unfairly. Meanwhile, eight percent believed Barack Obama had the low blows of the campaign.
Twenty-five percent said both unfairly attacked the other. Thirty-six percent, meanwhile, felt neither unfairly attacked the other.
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Another nugget from the Dems….
Forty-eight percent of Ohio Democrats polled said they voted for the candidate they felt could best bring about needed change. Twenty-six percent said they voted for the candidate who they felt had the right experience.
Fifteen percent said they were voting for someone they felt “cares about people like me.” And seven percent said they voted for the candidate that had the best chance to win in November.
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First wave of Democratic exit polls….
The first wave of Democratic exit polls are in: more women are voting than men, and the highest turnout is among white women, according to exit polls conducted by Edison/Mitofsky. The earliest results were gleaned from 1,020 Ohio voters.
Of those polled so far, 75 percent are white and 20 percent are African-American. Three percent are Hispanic.
Thirteen percent are between the ages of 17 and 29; 27 percent between the ages of 30 and 44; 33 between the ages of 45 and 59 and 26 percent older than 60.
Eighty percent of voters in the Democratic primary made their decision a week ago or more.
Fifty-nine percent considered the economy the most important issue facing the country, followed by 18 percent considering Iraq most important and 19 percent considering health care their most important.
Bomb threats, flooding part of Election Day mix
Problems at the polls Tuesday were minor but manageable as of late Tuesday afternoon, according to Patrick Gallaway, a spokesman for Ohio Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner.
Lucas County had voting machine problems, but the problems were remedied, he said, and voters stymied by the electronic machines there voted by paper ballot. There were also two bomb threats - one in Trumbull County, one in Lake County. “Both were investigated and found to be nothing,” Gallaway said.
A handful of counties also reported brief power outages throughout the day.
In Jefferson County, the board of elections moved three voting locations because it was low-lying and officials feared it would flood. A Franklin County Committee please judge asked for and granted that order. The Secretary of State gave voters in those locations the opportunity to vote a provisional ballot at the board of elections.
Gallaway said “the worst-case scenario” - that the polls would be kept open later - didn’t look likely as of late Tuesday afternoon.
The Ohio Republican Party, meanwhile, expressed concern that field staff on the ground in Cuyahoga County had reported that ballots were being picked up, transported and delivered exclusively by Democrats, a violation of a Secretary of State directive on midday pickups. Gallaway said the office had yet to hear that report. “I don’t know where that’s coming from,” he said.
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