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Home > Blogs > Ohio politics > Archives > 2010 > March > 09 > Entry
Kasich opens double-digit lead over Strickland
Republican John Kasich leads incumbent Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland, 49-38 percent among likely voters in a Rasmussen Reports poll released on Monday, March 8.
The lead shows an increase in support for Kasich, a former Columbus-area congressman, from a poll last month in which he led, 47-41 percent.
However, the results differ from a Quinnipiac University poll released Feb. 23 that showed Strickland leading Kasich, 44-39 percent.
Political scientist John Green said in an e-mail that the difference “could be the volatility of the electorate—or volatility of polls. After all, any given poll may be in error—we just can’t tell which one.”
Also, the polls use different methodologies, said Green, director of the Bliss Institute of Applied Politics at the University of Akron.
“Rasmussen may be more accurate for a low turnout anti-incumbent election—which we may see this November,” said Green. “But Quinnipiac may be more accurate for a higher turnout partisan election—and we may get that as well.”
In the new Rasmussen poll, voters not affiliated with either major party favor Kasich, 60-22 percent.
A Rasmussen analysis of the poll results says that the declining state economy and “general frustration” with incumbents seems to be making the campaign a referendum on Strickland, to some degree. It also says that incumbents who get less than 50 percent of the vote at this stage are “considered potentially vulnerable.”
In the new poll, 56 percent have a very favorable or somewhat favorable impression of Strickland while 48 percent view Kasich that way.
However, 48 percent view Strickland somewhat or very unfavorably while 39 percent view Kasich that way.
Just 6 percent are unsure of how they view Strickland while 23 percent - nearly one in four - are not sure what impression they have of Kasich.
The poll was taken on Thursday, March 4 with 500 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.
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By MainStreet
March 18, 2010 1:09 AM | Link to this
As a former Ohioan and proud grad of OSU, I followed Kasich’s career as House budget director and found him to be extremely competent. During his tenure, budgets were realistic. As for jobs, it is easy to recognize the highly unionized states, they are the states where the manufacturers have either shut down or left for the South or overseas. Wise up, neither Unions nor Government create jobs, they destroy them.
By Austin
March 11, 2010 9:21 AM | Link to this
I saw a bumper sticker here in Middletown (of course driven by an old man who looked like he hadn’t taken the stick out of his a** in a while) that said “Support future House Speaker Boehner” I almost ran off the road and vomited.
By Austin
March 11, 2010 9:20 AM | Link to this
I saw a bumper sticker here in Middletown (of course driven by an old man who looked like he hadn’t taken the stick out of his a** in a while) that said “Support future House Speaker Boehner” I almost ran off the road and vomited.
By LEFTofDayton
March 10, 2010 10:19 AM | Link to this
C’mon man, a long-time congressman who left public office to run Lehman Bros into the ground only to be bailed out by our tax dollars? Yes, I’m feeling very refreshed.
By C'mon Man
March 10, 2010 9:44 AM | Link to this
Thank the Lord; this State needs a leader! Strickland has been as bad or worse than Taft. Kasich is not the norm = good thing!!!!
By LEFTofDayton
March 10, 2010 8:12 AM | Link to this
Boehnerisms, I detect a common disdain for the great orange one… I think great things would come from his removal from office. For one, I’d get to stop adjusting the color on my tv. Thank you for picking up on my sarcasm. Of course Taft was the worst governor in the history of Ohio. But Ohioans have always had a short memory span, haven’t we?
By NAFTA
March 10, 2010 5:45 AM | Link to this
Why is Ohio and the rest of America losing manufacturing jobs? Very simple: NAFTA and the high cost of Health Insurance for American workers.
By John
March 10, 2010 5:21 AM | Link to this
Common Cents…. I detect a strong sense of wealth envy in your post, and the name calling, very unbecoming of you… Just why is it then that there is a lack of commitment as you say to manufacturing in Ohio and America? I think we both can agree that it’s not the weather…
By Common Cents
March 9, 2010 10:01 PM | Link to this
John, you’re an idiot. Strickland has continued to cut spending instead of returning taxes to where they were before the irresponsible tax cuts for the wealthy by Bob Taft. It’s lack of a commitment to manufacturing in America that has led to Ohio’s decline. Til that trend is reversed the suffering will continue
By John
March 9, 2010 5:22 PM | Link to this
It’s no wonder Ohio is quickly moving in the same direction as Michigan, California, New York. Unions, higher taxes, and progressive politics have destroyed those states. Strickland just doesn’t get it…
By PollingBias
March 9, 2010 4:38 PM | Link to this
Readers, remember the Rasmussen polls have traditionally shown a 4 to 9% conservative bias. Google: rasmussen, polling, bias Then read a few articles and decide for yourself. Most polls are carefully designed to steer those taking it towards the results the pollers want to publicize.
By Boehnerisms
March 9, 2010 4:31 PM | Link to this
No jobs were lost on Taft’s watch? Ohio’s unemployment has risen every year for 19 straight years. Wait, that is exactly how long Boehner has been in Congress. Never mind, must just be a huge coincidence.
By LEFTofDayton
March 9, 2010 12:58 PM | Link to this
Maybe this Republican will lead us into the right direction like Taft. No jobs were lost on his watch, (especially in manufacturing).
By Common Cents
March 9, 2010 12:45 PM | Link to this
Maybe Kasich can guide Ohio to the promise land like he did Lehman Brothers …………… oh wait
By Can't take Any More
March 9, 2010 12:27 PM | Link to this
Strickland and his administration have sat with their hands folded and taken no action while Ohio bleeds business and their jobs.We need a leader, someone who realizes this once-great state needs some major structural surgery. Continuing with what we’ve had will bring only more pain to Ohio families and workers while Strickland & The Dems do nothing but say they feel bad for people’s plight.
By Squirrellygirl
March 9, 2010 11:57 AM | Link to this
Strickland is a loser just like Jennifer Brunner. They both were in on the voter registration fraud debunkle last prez election—they wouldn’t investigate it. So I can’t wait for Strickland to be voted out of office/Brunner too!