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Home > Blogs > Ohio politics > Archives > 2010 > September > 03 > Entry
“Crystal Ball” forecasts bad news for Fisher, Dems
Political scientist Larry Sabato’s “Crystal Ball” historically has been a good predictor and that could be bad news for Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher and other Democrats, both in Ohio and across the country.
Sabato, from the University of Virginia, on Thursday, Sept. 2, moved the Ohio U.S. Senate race from “toss-up” to “lean Republican.” The Republican candidate is former U.S. Rep. Rob Portman of the Cincinnati-area who’s running against Fisher.
Jennifer Duffy, senior editor for the Cook Political Report, also moved the Ohio U.S. Senate race from “toss-up” to “lean Republican.” Portman’s lead has been widening in recent polls. The average of his lead in recent polls is 6.7 percent, according to RealClearPolitics.
Sabato also forecast that Republicans would pick up from eight to nine U.S. Senate seats, short of the 10 the GOP needs to take over the Senate.
However, Sabato forecast that Republicans would add 47 U.S. House seats, more than the 40 they need to take over the House. As many as six Ohio U.S. House seats now held by Democrats - none in the Dayton area - are in play and could be among those picked up by Republicans.
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