Alabama-Ole Miss: Betting odds, picks for Week 5 (09/30/2017)

Alabama football is set to continue its SEC grind when Ole Miss travels to Tuscaloosa on Saturday. The Rebels, who had a bye this past Saturday, dropped their last contest in a 27-16 loss to California on Sept. 16.

Alabama (4-0, 1-0 SEC) is coming off a 59-0 pounding of Vanderbilt last Saturday. Overall, it was Alabama’s best game to date this season. The Crimson Tide came out, jumped on Vanderbilt immediately and never let up.

Ole Miss (2-1) is coming off a bye week. But the Rebels are the last road team to win at Bryant-Denny Stadium — 43-37 in 2015. Alabama can extend the nation’s longest active home winning streak to 15 games.

Alabama-Ole Miss betting odds

Alabama is a 28-point favorite, according to MyBookie. The over/under is 58.5 points.

Alabama-Ole Miss betting picks

Marq Burnett: Alabama 34, Ole Miss 17

Alabama and Ole Miss have produced some memorable games over the past three years. Don’t expect that this time around, though. Ole Miss struggles to stop the run. Alabama runs the ball as well as anyone in the country. Look for Alabama to pound Ole Miss into submission this weekend.

Chris Kirschner: Alabama 41, Ole Miss 10

Ole Miss has taken down Alabama in the past two of three matchups, but I don’t see that happening this year. The Rebels have a self-imposed postseason ban, so you could make the case that this game for them is their championship. Ole Miss is going to have to hope that this game gets wacky for it to have any chance. Through four games, Alabama has zero turnovers on offense, so I don’t see the Tide having a sloppy performance all of a sudden, especially at home. Look for Alabama to jump out to an early lead.

Mike Bambach: Alabama 41, Ole Miss 6

I predict Alabama will extend the nation’s longest active home winning streak to 15 games by dominating the last road team to win at Bryant-Denny Stadium (Ole Miss in 2015). Shea Patterson can pass but he will be without one of his top targets and his starting center. Meanwhile, Ole Miss is allowing 184 rushing yards per game, 95th in the nation. The Tide runs away with this one.

Sean Landry: Alabama 42, Ole Miss 21

The explosive Ole Miss passing game poses the biggest challenge of the season to date for Alabama’s secondary, which will give up at least two long touchdowns. Alabama’s ball-hawking tendency will win out, flipping the field with interceptions and winning the battle up front on both sides of the ball. The best way to quiet Shea Patterson is to keep the ball out of his hands.

Ryan Fowler: Alabama 48, Ole Miss 14

Currently Mississippi’s defense ranks 59thin college football and that is after playing 2 inferior teams and one lower tier team from the PAC-12. Alabama’s offensive identity is beginning to take shape and I believe this will continue on Saturday. Brian Daboll is running the ball, which makes Crimson Tide fans pleased with this style. Rebel’s offensive attack is respectable, but not enough to pull off the upset. Alabama’s hammer on Saturday will feel similar to the one the NCAA will bring to the Rebels in a few weeks.

Alabama-Ole Miss betting preview

  • Alabama owns a 48-11-2 record (after vacations) over Ole Miss. For a while, this was just another lopsided “Alabama-wins-every-time”-type series, but that changed in 2014. The Rebels defeated Alabama in back-to-back seasons for the first time in program history with wins in 2014 and 2015.
  • In 2014, Ole Miss stormed back in the second half to knock off Alabama for the first time in 10 tries. In 2015, Ole Miss was aided by 5 Alabama turnovers, which resulted in the Rebels beating the Crimson Tide in back-to-back games for the first time in series history. It was Alabama’s lone loss of its national championship run that season. Last season, Alabama slipped by with a five-point victory that came down to the wire. Alabama had to come back from a big deficit, then hold off the Rebels in the final minutes.
  • Ole Miss features the nation’s fourth-best passing attack, averaging 427 yards per game. That’s 148 yards more than Missouri, the SEC’s second-rated passing team. Ole Miss quarterback Shea Patterson leads the SEC with 1,281 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions through three games. Patterson has thrown for at least 360 yards in each game and he broke the 400-yard mark in the Rebels’ first two contests.

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