Believe it: Arkansas sitting pretty in every NCAA Tournament projection

FAYETTEVILLE, Ark. — Three games left in the Arkansas basketball regular season. Depending on who you ask, the Razorbacks need to win between zero or two of them to ensure a place in the NCAA Tournament.

A roundup of the latest bracket projections Thursday morning shows Arkansas is a rather easy “in”for the Big Dance. Bracket Matrix, which collects projections from all over the internet — some more reputable than others — and makes an aggregate, shows Arkansas as an 8 seed. No worries at all as an 8 seed.

However, it’s not ideal. Arkansas landed as an 8 seed last year and besides a difficult game against a 9 seed, the winner gets a 1 seed in the second round. Those sorts of upsets don’t happen often.

But that’s what Arkansas fans need to worry about now. Their Hogs are going to the Dance as of right now. Wins improve their seed. Losses drop it. This time next week, though, if Arkansas loses at Alabama on Saturday and at home against Auburn on Tuesday, we might have a different update.

For now, be content.

Arkansas Razorbacks

  • Record: 19-9 (8-7 in SEC)
  • RPI: 35
  • BPI: 41
  • KenPom: 42
  • Strength of schedule (SOS): 34


  • 9 seed by ESPN
  • 8 seed by Real-Time RPI
  • 9 seed by Yahoo
  • 8 seed in Bracket Matrix

Similar teams:

  • Oklahoma (32 RPI, 43 RPI)
  • Arizona State (28 RPI, 42 BPI)
  • Middle Tennessee State (22 RPI, 44 BPI)

Completely unsurprising, really. The team Arkansas beat in the nonconference that was supposed to be this grand showcase of the Razorbacks’ talent, yeah, that team arguably is worse than Arkansas at this point. Oklahoma has done one of two things, depending how you view it. The Sooners have either fallen off a cliff or they are showing what they’ve been all along. Truth lies probably in the middle. I fall into the latter camp.

Arizona State has been odd all season. It is 7-7 in a wholly average Pac-12, but the Sun Devils have modest out-of-conference wins and play in a league that gets more credit than it probably should. A lot like Arkansas, eh?

Middle Tennessee State is the outlier. Conference USA is the weakest conference of the bunch between the four. Arkansas offensive coordinator Joe Craddock’s old school, though, is impressive enough to be an 8 seed or higher, even despite less-than-stellar competition in its league.

The post Believe it: Arkansas sitting pretty in every NCAA Tournament projection appeared first on SEC Country.

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