ESPN’s FPI has Ohio State No. 2, Michigan No. 18 after Week 5

Michigan is No. 7 and Ohio State is No. 10 in the latest AP Top 25, out on Sunday. Those rankings differ widely from what ESPN’s FPI has for those two teams after Week 5.

Ohio State is No. 2 in ESPN’s FPI, while Michigan is far below at No. 18. That’s quite different from the AP Poll, where the Buckeyes dropped out of the top 10 after their loss to Oklahoma. ESPN’s rankings do have some things in common with other advanced stats rankings. Bill Connelly’s S&P+ also has Ohio State at No. 2. His reasoning: “Ohio State has looked spectacular since the loss, and the last time we saw the Sooners, they tried to lose to Baylor. Ratings look at every game. This is not a transitive property tool.”

Michigan’s place at No. 18 is the same place the Wolverines were in ESPN’s first FPI rankings of the year, way back in February. However, Connelly’s S&P+ has Michigan at No. 9, which isn’t quite the drop seen in FPI.

Here’s how ESPN comes up with FPI:

The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.

The post ESPN’s FPI has Ohio State No. 2, Michigan No. 18 after Week 5 appeared first on Land of 10.

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