FiveThirtyEight: Kansas has 11 percent chance to win title

The Kansas Jayhawks have weathered the first two rounds of a crazy March Madness and are eying a trip to the Final Four, if not an NCAA title.

Two 1-seeds, Virginia and Xavier, have already been bounced. The 3-seed (Michigan State) and 4-seed (Auburn) in Kansas’ region have been eliminated as well. As the rest of college basketball crumbles, the Jayhawks have held strong.

But that doesn’t mean it’s an easy road from here on out. Villanova is still on Kansas’ side of the bracket, and a white-hot Duke lurks as the 2-seed in Kansas’ region. The Jayhawks are a very good team, but all the upsets have largely stayed out of their path to the Final Four.

The statistical model at FiveThirtyEight gives the Jayhawks an 11 percent chance to win the national title and a 38 percent chance to make the Final Four. Those odds are the best in the Big 12, which concurs with KenPom’s analysis from earlier today. 

Villanova has the best odds to win, at 22 percent, followed by Duke at 18 percent and 5-seed Kentucky, also at 11 percent. The next closest Big 12 team is West Virginia, at 6 percent.

Of course, none of that matters if Kansas can’t get past Clemson in the Sweet 16. For what it’s worth, FiveThirtyEight predicts the Jayhawks have a 73 percent chance of winning that game.

Kansas and Clemson tip off Friday, March 23 at 6:07 p.m. CT from the CenturyLink Center in Omaha, Neb.

The post FiveThirtyEight: Kansas has 11 percent chance to win title appeared first on Diehards.

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