Kansas has best chance to make Final Four of remaining Big 12 teams, per KenPom

Kansas is the Big 12’s best chance of making the Final Four, according to the latest probabilities from Ken Pomeroy.

The Jayhawks have a 22.2 percent chance of getting to San Antonio, according to KenPom projections. But while that’s the best odds of any Big 12 team, it’s only the eighth-best odds of the teams left in the NCAA Tournament.

The reason Kansas doesn’t have a higher probability is the other traditional powerhouse in the Midwest Region: Duke. KenPom gives the Blue Devils a 54 percent chance of making the Final Four, and the Jayhawks will likely have to beat them in the Elite Eight in order to get out of the region.

The rest of the Big 12’s chances of getting to the Final Four aren’t great.

Kansas State actually has the best odds of the conference’s other representatives at 16.4 percent, in part because of playing in the weak South Region. If the Wildcats beat Kentucky on Thursday, they’ll face the winner of Loyola-Chicago vs. Nevada.

West Virginia (12.4) and Texas Tech (12.8) both have slightly worse odds because one of them would have to beat the other to make it out of the East Region. Plus, the No. 1 and No. 2 seeds are still alive in the East with Villanova and Purdue, respectively.

Here are the Final Four probabilities from KenPom for every team in the Sweet Sixteen.

Team Probability of Making Final Four (Pct.)
1 Duke 54.0
2 Villanova 48.5
3 Gonzaga 40.0
4 Kentucky 37.7
5 Michigan 32.7
6 Nevada 27.6
7 Purdue 26.3
8 Kansas 22.2
9 Loyola-Chicago 18.2
10 Clemson 17.5
11 Kansas State 16.4
12 Texas A&M 15.1
13 Texas Tech 12.8
14 West Virginia 12.4
15 Florida State 12.2
16 Syracuse 6.3

The post Kansas has best chance to make Final Four of remaining Big 12 teams, per KenPom appeared first on Diehards.

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