West Virginia has worst chance to make Final Four of remaining Big 12 teams, per KenPom

There are four Big 12 teams left in the NCAA Tournament, and Ken Pomeroy’s projections say West Virginia has the lowest probability to make the Final Four in that group.

The Mountaineers have just a 12.4 percent chance of getting to San Antonio, according to KenPom. That’s lower than the probability for Kansas (22.2), Kansas State (16.4) and Texas Tech (12.8). The reason for that is West Virginia probably has the toughest road of any of those teams.

First, West Virginia plays No. 1 seed Villanova at approximately 7:27 p.m. ET on Friday in Boston. Villanova is the No. 1 team in the country in KenPom this year. If the Mountaineers survive the Wildcats, they play the winner of No. 2 Purdue-No. 3 Texas Tech, who play later on Friday night.

That’s a more difficult path to the Final Four than any other Big 12 team. Kansas gets Clemson on Thursday before facing the winner of Duke-Syracuse. Kansas State is playing in the South, the weakest region in the tournament.

However, the Mountaineers have looked like one of the best teams in March Madness so far. They’ve won both of their tournament games by double digits. They have a great coach in Bob Huggins, good guard play with senior Jevon Carter, and a solid defense. All of those things matter in the tournament, and they might be enough to push West Virginia through this weekend.

Here are the Final Four probabilities from KenPom for every team in the Sweet Sixteen.

Team Probability of Making Final Four (Pct.)
1 Duke 54.0
2 Villanova 48.5
3 Gonzaga 40.0
4 Kentucky 37.7
5 Michigan 32.7
6 Nevada 27.6
7 Purdue 26.3
8 Kansas 22.2
9 Loyola-Chicago 18.2
10 Clemson 17.5
11 Kansas State 16.4
12 Texas A&M 15.1
13 Texas Tech 12.8
14 West Virginia 12.4
15 Florida State 12.2
16 Syracuse 6.3

The post West Virginia has worst chance to make Final Four of remaining Big 12 teams, per KenPom appeared first on Diehards.

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