The Reds have 20 games remaining. The Padres have 22.
According to FanGraphs.com, the Reds have a 52.9 percent chance of winning the wild card, and the Padres have a 35.3 percent chance.
On Friday, Eugenio Suarez and Joey Votto hit home runs to give the Reds an early 3-0 lead. With the score tied 2-2 in the ninth, a double by Jose Barrero scored Aristides Aquino, and then a groundout to Delino DeShields Jr. scored Barrero, who started at shortstop because Kyle Farmer went on the paternity list.
Lucas Sims, Michael Lorenzen and Mychal Givens combined to pitch three scoreless innings after Tyler Mahle allowed two earned runs on four hits in six innings.
The Reds and Cardinals play Game 2 of a three-game series at 7:15 p.m. Saturday.
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