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Iowa and New Hampshire voters are the first in the nation to weigh in on presidential wannabees while Super Tuesday comes March 3 when 14 states hold their nominating contests.
The Super Tuesday contests will make or break Bloomberg’s chances. The former New York City mayor, who has hired dozens campaign workers in Ohio, is largely skipping the Iowa and NH contests and placing his bets on later primaries. In Ohio, the Bloomberg campaign opened a dozen offices and hired roughly 80 staffers.
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Ohio’s primary will be held March 17, the same day as Arizona, Florida and Illinois hold their primaries. The March 17 primaries come after 25 other states will have voted.
Turnout has been higher for primary voting in Ohio during the presidential election cycle.
In 2016, the turnout for the primary that involved Democrat and Republican presidential candidates was 44%. Just more than 2 million Republicans voted, compared to 1.26 million Democrats.
Former Ohio Democratic Party Chairman Chris Redfern, who has not endorsed any candidate, said the winner of Iowa or New Hampshire could still fall flat in later contests.
“Politics, especially today, is just so fungible and rapidly changing that we don’t know what’s going to happen Friday and that’s going to impact all of us Monday but only through Monday. The media cycle is so short, our memories are so short that who ever wins — and I suspect it’s going to be Joe Biden in Iowa — could lose New Hampshire and then who knows,” Redfern said. “Does Joe Biden have enough money to survive Super Tuesday and beyond? Could Joe Biden win Ohio? Sure, but I don’t think it’s because of Iowa or not because of Iowa.”
Take this for what it’s worth: A poll conducted by three universities, including Baldwin Wallace and Ohio Northern, from Jan. 8 to Jan. 20, found Biden at 32.1 %, Sanders at 20.8%, Warren at 10.7% and Bloomberg at 10.1% among Ohio Democratic voters.
The poll, which has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percent, also found that 9.8% of Democrats said they’re unsure who they’d back.
Former Montgomery County Republican Party Chairman Rob Scott said he believes Biden, Bloomberg and Warren will last through the Ohio primary but Buttigieg and Sanders may fade. Biden’s name identification and Bloomberg’s millions of dollars will carry them to the Buckeye state while Warren will survive with her superior campaign organization, he said.
Meanwhile, the Ohio Democratic Party invited all the presidential candidates on the Ohio ballot to attend the party’s state dinner in Columbus on March 15. Four years ago, Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton each appeared at the dinner event before the Ohio primary.
With most of the attention focused on the battle for the Democratic nomination, President Donald Trump’s campaign announced what it is calling an “unprecedented” surrogate operation, with more than 80 supporters fanning out across the state the day of its kickoff caucuses on Monday
The showing will include a slew of government officials—acting White House chief of staff Mick Mulvaney and much of Trump’s Cabinet. That includes Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, Education Secretary Betsy Devos, Interior Secretary David Bernhardt, Alex Azar, the Secretary of Health and Human Services, Veterans Affairs Secretary Robert Wilkie, Ben Carson, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, and Jovita Carranza, who leads the Small Business Administration.
Also on board will be a long list of elected officials, including Iowa’s Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds and Republican House Leader Kevin McCarthy. And there will be other notables, including Jerry Falwell Jr., the president of Liberty University, and the inventor of “My Pillow,” Mike Lindell.
The effort will be led by members of Trump’s family, along with his campaign manager Brad Parscale, who hyped the showing as just a “preview of what is to come.”
“This will be the strongest, best funded, and most organized presidential campaign in history,” he said in a statement. “We are putting the Democrats on notice—good luck trying to keep up with this formidable re-election machine.”
The Associated Press contributed to this story.
GET READY FOR ELECTION DAY
- The deadline to register to vote for the Ohio primary election is Feb. 18.
- Early voting starts on Feb. 19.
- The Ohio primary is set for March 17.
Stay up to date on the upcoming election on our Ohio Politics Facebook page
Presidential election calendar
Some key upcoming dates in the presidential election
Feb. 3: Iowa Caucuses
Feb. 7: Democratic presidential debate, New Hampshire
Feb. 11: New Hampshire primary
Feb. 19: Democratic primary debate, Nevada
Feb. 22: Nevada Caucuses
Feb. 25: Democratic primary debate, South Carolina
Feb. 29: South Carolina primary
March 3: Super Tuesday. 15 primaries including California, Texas.
March 10: 6 states have primaries including Michigan.
March 17: Ohio primary. Also Florida, Illinois and Arizona have primaries on this day.
Eleven candidates will be on the Democratic primary ballot in Ohio:
* Colorado Sen. Michael Bennet
* Former Vice President Joseph R. Biden
* Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg
* New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker, who has suspended his campaign
* South Bend, Ind. Mayor Pete Buttigieg
* Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard
* Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar
* Former Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick
* Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders
* Billionaire businessman Tom Steyer
* Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren
* Democrat Andrew Yang will mount a write-in campaign