As the battle for the White House kicks into high gear in crucial swing states, Democrat Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump in North Carolina and Pennsylvania but she ties him in Florida and trails him in Ohio, according to a new independent poll released Thursday by Quinnipiac University.
With Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein both on the Ohio ballot this fall, Trump is four points ahead of Clinton in the Buckeye state, pollsters found.
Here is how it breaks down:
Ohio: Trump, 41; Clinton, 37; Johnson, 14; Stein, 4.
Florida: Clinton, 43; Trump, 43; Johnson, 8; Stein, 2.
NC: Clinton, 42; Trump 38; Johnson, 15. (Stein isn’t on the ballot.)
Pennsylvania: Clinton, 44; Trump, 39; Johnson, 9; Stein, 3.
“Libertarian Gary Johnson could decide the presidential election in the Buckeye State. He is getting 14 percent from Ohio voters and how that cohort eventually votes could be critical in this swing state - and in the nation,” said Quinnipiac University pollster Peter Brown in a written statement.
Johnson will appear on the Ohio ballot with no party affiliation.
“The obvious takeaway from these numbers is that Donald Trump has staged a comeback from his post-Democratic convention lows, especially in Pennsylvania and Ohio,” Brown said. “Taking a bit longer view, however, we see a race that appears little changed from where it was as the GOP convention began in July, and at least in these four key states is very much up for grabs.”
Trump leads among whites and men while Clinton leads among women and non-white voters.
A month ago, the same poll showed Clinton holding slim leads over Trump in Florida and Ohio and a 10-point lead in Pennsylvania, which hasn’t voted for a Republican presidential nominee since 1988.
No Republican has ever won the White House without taking Ohio and the last Democrat to do so was John F. Kennedy in 1960.
The poll surveyed voters on landlines and cell phones between Aug. 29 and Sept. 7. In Ohio, the margin of error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
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