Last week, every prediction on BracketMatrix.com listed Dayton as a No. 2 seed. This week, eight of the 126 brackets have Dayton as a No. 1 seed. There’s a chance Dayton could get a top seed because three teams ahead of it in the rankings — Gonzaga, San Diego State and Baylor — all lost last weekend.
Here's where Dayton stands in the various rankings: fourth in the NCAA Evaluation Tool (one better than last week and as high as it has been all season), sixth in the Ken Pomeroy ratings (same), 18th in the Haslametrics ratings (three worse than last week), eighth in ESPN's Basketball Power Index (one spot worse) and 12th in the Sagarin ratings (three spots worse).
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Below is a list of what a few of the experts are saying about where Dayton could land in the bracket. Cleveland is a popular choice as a first-round site for Dayton because if it receives a No. 2 seed, it will have a better chance of being placed at the site closes to Dayton.
Mike DeCourcy, Fox Sports/The Sporting News: No. 2 seed Dayton vs. No. 15 South Dakota State
Joe Lunardi, ESPN: No. 2 seed Dayton vs. No. 15 South Dakota State in Cleveland with the winner playing Butler or Archie Miller and Indiana.
Jerry Palm, CBSSports.com: No. 2 Dayton vs. No. 15 Wright State in Cleveland.
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Jonathon Warriner, MakingTheMadness.com: No. 2 Dayton vs. No. 15 Wright State in Cleveland.
Kerry Miller, BleacherReport.com: No. 2 Dayton vs. No. 15 Wright State with winner playing No. 7 seed Colorado or No. 10 Xavier.
DelphiBracketology.com: No. 2 Dayton vs. No. 15 Hofstra in Cleveland with the winner playing No. 7 Marquette or No. 10 Rhode Island.
Patrick Stevens, Washington Post: No. 2 Dayton vs. No. 15 Wright State