March Forecast: Where Dayton stands in NCAA tournament picture four days before Selection Sunday

Tournament bracket will be announced at 6 p.m. Sunday on CBS

The No. 3 Dayton Flyers will earn their highest seed in the NCAA tournament Sunday. It’s only a question of what the number will be.

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On, as of Wednesday morning, only nine of the 145 brackets had Dayton (29-2) as a No. 2 or No. 3 seed. Every other bracket predicted Dayton will get a No. 1 seed along with Kansas, Butler and Gonzaga.

Dayton earned its highest seed in 2003, losing as a No. 4 seed 84-71 to Tulsa in the first round. It was a No. 11 seed twice (2014 and 2015) in the Archie Miller Era and a No. 7 seed twice (2016 and 2017). Dayton is 0-3 as a higher seed, losing in the first round in 2003 and 2016 (to Syracuse in Saint Louis) and 2017 (to Wichita State in Indianapolis).

Dayton may have to win the Atlantic 10 Conference tournament to stay ahead of San Diego (30-2) in the race for the last No. 1 seed.

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The Flyers play No. 8 seed Massachusetts or No. 9 Virginia Commonwealth at noon Friday in the quarterfinals at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn. The Selection Show airs on CBS at 6 p.m. Sunday.

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Here's where Dayton stands in the various rankings: second in the NCAA Evaluation Tool (one better than last week and as high as it has been all season), fourth in the Ken Pomeroy ratings (one better), ninth in the Haslametrics ratings (one spot worse), fifth in ESPN's Basketball Power Index (two spots better) and sixth in the Sagarin ratings (three spots better).

Below is a list of what a few of the experts are saying about where Dayton could land in the bracket. Horizon League champion Northern Kentucky replaced Wright State in several of the brackets this week after the Raiders lost in the semifinals of the conference tournament Monday.

Mike DeCourcy, Fox Sports/The Sporting NewsNo. 1 seed Dayton vs. No. 16 Prairie View/Siena

Joe Lunardi, ESPN: No. 1 Dayton vs. No. 16 North Carolina Central or No. 16 Robert Morris in Cleveland.

Jerry Palm, No. 1 Dayton vs. No. 16 Northern Kentucky in Cleveland.

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Jonathon Warriner, No. 2 Dayton vs. No. 15 Northern Kentucky in Cleveland.

Kerry Miller, No. 1 Dayton vs. No. 16 Winthrop. No. 1 Dayton vs. No. 16 Winthrop Cleveland.

Patrick Stevens, Washington Post: No. 1 Dayton vs. No. 16 Eastern Washington in Cleveland.

131Sports : No. 1 Dayton vs. No. 16 St. Francis (Pa.) in Cleveland.

AkeyBracket : No. 1 Dayton vs. No. 16 Winthrop in Cleveland.

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