The Reds have 22 games to play in the last 26 games of the regular season, which ends Oct. 3. Nine of those games are against the Pittsburgh Pirates (50-80), who have the second-worst record in the National League. The Reds are 9-1 against the Pirates this season.
According to FanGraphs.com, the Reds have a 49.0 percent chance of winning a wild card. The Padres have a 32.7 percent chance.
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The Philadelphia Phillies (71-67), who trail the Reds and Padres by two games, have an 8.4 percent chance. The St. Louis Cardinals (69-68), who are 3½ games back of the Reds and Padres, have a 2.8 percent chance.
The Reds and Cubs conclude their three-game series at 7:40 p.m. Wednesday at Wrigley Field. The Reds then start a three-game series on the road against the St. Louis Cardinals on Friday. The Reds lead the season series against the Cardinals 9-7.
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