According to BaseballReference.com, the Reds had a 20.3 percent chance of making the playoffs as of Tuesday. Those were the third-worst odds in the league.
The last two playoff berths would have gone to a 15-15 team (the Philadelphia Phillies) and a 17-18 team (the Colorado Rockies) if the season ended Monday.
The Chicago Cubs (20-14) and Cardinals (13-13) were on track to earn the National League Central Division’s two playoff berths with the Milwaukee Brewers (16-18) and the Reds still in the mix.
Still, the 2½ games that separated the Cardinals and Reds looked large Monday, and the Reds are having a hard time explaining their struggles.
“We’re just kind of getting unlucky,” said pitcher Tyler Mahle, who will start Wednesday in the final game of the series against the Cardinals. “We’re hitting a lot of balls hard, and they’re going right to people in the shift. I see that happening a lot. From what I see, I think everyone’s doing as much as we can.”
NOTES: The two players the Reds acquired in trades Monday, reliever Archie Bradley and outfielder Brian Goodwin, were scheduled to arrive in Cincinnati on Tuesday. Manager David Bell hoped to be able to activate them both for the game. ... Outfielder Jesse Winker served a one-game suspension Tuesday, choosing not to appeal the punishment that was handed down Monday. ... Nick Senzel started working out at the alternate site at Prasco Park on Tuesday, Bell said. He has been on the injured list since Aug. 19. Bell said they hope to have him back on the big-league roster soon.