Ninety percent of prisoners return to live in the same county in which they were convicted – and at the mercy of their local economy.
Here are some key facts related to the study:
Wage growth during an up-business cycle decreases the risk of recidivism 2.3 percent to 4 percent.
A 1 percent increase in wages for low-skilled jobs reduced recidivism by 0.42 percent for ex-offenders aged 25 and under and 0.50 for those 40 and older.
One in four inmates studied were likely to be rearrested within three years and almost one in three within five years.
The release of a large number of ex-offenders during the Great Recession likely had substantial consequences for recidivism. Between the fourth quarter of 2007 and the first quarter of 2009, real average monthly earnings for low-skilled men fell by 12 percent.
Recidivism risk of offenders released during the Great Recession increased by 5.5 to 9.6 percent.